#106 Josh Kaufman: Maximizing Our Locus of Control
Josh Kaufman, author of The Personal MBA, discusses rapid skill acquisition, mental models, decision-making, and overcoming fear. He shares insights on debugging your brain, synthesizing information, and defining personal success.
Deep Dive Analysis
15 Topic Outline
Learning from Mistakes and Experimentation
Josh Kaufman's Background and The Personal MBA Origin
Discovery of Charlie Munger and Mental Models
Defining Mental Models and Their Application in Business
The Five Essential Parts of Every Business
Personal Application of Mental Models and Self-Debugging
Process for Synthesizing Information and Broad Reading
Personal Decision-Making Approach and Information Filtering
The Role of Failure and Experimentation in Learning
Distinguishing Knowledge from Skill Acquisition
The Importance of Fast Feedback Loops and Self-Correction
Overcoming Fear, Uncertainty, and Risk
The Value of Side Projects and Combinatorial Effects
Understanding Social Status and Status Malfunction
Josh Kaufman's Personal Definition of Success
7 Key Concepts
Mental Models
Concepts or ideas that represent how something in the real world works, allowing for mental simulation. They help skilled individuals understand, predict, and influence outcomes in complex systems like businesses.
Five Parts of Every Business
A foundational framework defining a business by its essential components: Value Creation, Marketing, Sales, Value Delivery, and Finance. Each part has specific goals and must function effectively for a business to succeed and be sustainable.
Knowledge vs. Skill
Knowledge refers to gathering information and forming concepts, while skill is the ability to perform in a specific way to reliably produce a desired objective in the real world. Knowledge is acquired through study, while skill is gained through practice.
Deliberate Practice
A focused and undistracted form of practice where an individual pays close attention to their performance, actively corrects mistakes as they occur, and intentionally experiments with small variations to improve their skill.
Threat Lockdown
The mind's natural defensive mode triggered when an individual feels their world is out of control or faces significant risks. This physiological response leads to conservative behavior, minimizing exposure and hindering exploration or experimentation.
Combinatorial Effects
The valuable outcomes that arise from bringing together diverse, sometimes unrelated skills or experiences in novel ways. This concept highlights how broad learning and varied experiences can lead to unexpected innovations and advantages.
Status Malfunction
The phenomenon where individuals make poor decisions or investments due to the strong psychological and emotional lure of status, often overlooking significant drawbacks, costs, or necessary trade-offs. It can lead to choices that don't genuinely improve one's life or career.
10 Questions Answered
A mental model is a concept or idea that represents how something in the real world works. They are useful because they enable mental simulation, allowing individuals to understand, predict, and influence outcomes in various situations, much like a mechanic understands a car engine.
Every business fundamentally consists of five parts: Value Creation (making something valuable), Marketing (attracting attention), Sales (converting interest into purchases), Value Delivery (providing what was paid for), and Finance (managing money inflows and outflows for sustainability).
Debugging one's brain involves active self-reflection through daily logging. This means paying attention to actions, writing down accomplishments, decisions, and sticking points, then deconstructing barriers, identifying missing information, or considering experiments to move forward.
The process involves two main steps: first, inputting information from a wide variety of sources (reading broadly, diverse experiences), and second, performing a frequency analysis to identify ideas, structures, and concepts that repeatedly appear, indicating their importance and serving as targets for further exploration.
High-stakes decisions should be approached with caution, considering the 'value of information' versus the 'cost of information.' An optimizer/maximizer approach involves collecting as much information as possible within a set time and energy budget, especially for things that are used often or produce specific desired results.
Knowledge is the gathering of information and formation of concepts, often gained through study (like reading a book). Skill, on the other hand, is the ability to reliably and repeatedly perform a particular action to achieve a desired objective, which is primarily developed through consistent practice.
Improving soft skills can be achieved through a reflective loop, such as daily logging to capture internal understanding of performance and contrasting it with any external feedback received. Additionally, recording oneself (e.g., during a presentation) provides objective feedback for targeted improvement.
Overcoming fear involves formally acknowledging that one is undertaking something difficult and uncertain, which robs fear of its power. It also requires identifying what can be controlled, alleviating known risks, and being willing to experiment, viewing any result as valuable information for growth.
Side projects are undervalued because they often lead to 'combinatorial effects,' where skills or experiences from seemingly unrelated areas combine in new and valuable ways. These projects, pursued out of interest, can provide unexpected and enormous value, as seen in the origin of 'The Personal MBA' itself.
Status malfunction is the tendency to make poor decisions or investments primarily due to the strong psychological pull of status, often overlooking significant drawbacks, costs, or trade-offs. It can lead individuals to pursue options that appear prestigious but don't align with their true goals or well-being, such as attending an expensive business school primarily for the 'status signal'.
58 Actionable Insights
1. Adjust Risk by Stakes
For high-stakes, irreversible, or destructive decisions, focus on avoiding mistakes; for areas with more latitude, embrace experimentation and mistakes to accelerate learning, knowledge, and growth, which offer compound returns.
2. Practice Daily Logging
Pay attention to your actions and intentions, then write down daily accomplishments, decisions made, and areas where you get stuck or feel uncomfortable, to actively reflect and understand barriers.
3. Reflection Is Learning’s Work
Understand that reflection is the essential “work of learning,” and approach conversations by asking others to share their reflections on experiences rather than just asking for solutions.
4. Be Deliberate in Improvement
Cultivate the habit of learning, experimenting, reflecting, capturing progress, and consciously deciding next steps; this deliberate and intentional approach maximizes improvement per unit of time.
5. Acquire Skill by Making Mistakes
To acquire skills rapidly, learn a little about the topic, then start practicing quickly and making mistakes, as this helps you understand performance, self-correct, and gain skill through practice.
6. Practice Deliberately
Engage in deliberate practice by focusing intently, paying attention to your performance, correcting mistakes in the moment, and explicitly experimenting with small variations to observe different outcomes.
7. Utilize Fast Feedback Loops
Accelerate skill acquisition by creating fast feedback loops, minimizing the time between making a mistake, recognizing it, and making an adjustment or improvement.
8. Debug Sticking Points
When stuck on a decision, actively capture it, review your thought process to understand why, identify missing information, consider who to talk to, or design an experiment to test solutions.
9. Synthesize Diverse Information
To synthesize information effectively, seek input from a wide variety of sources across different domains, as broader input provides more material for interesting insights and connections.
10. Identify Recurring Concepts
After broad exploration, perform a “frequency analysis” by noting ideas, structures, and concepts that appear repeatedly, as these indicate particularly important and valuable knowledge.
11. Prioritize Practical Sources
Focus reading on practical, application-oriented sources that teach “how to think about” a subject, rather than trend pieces or entertainment, to identify enduring techniques and concepts.
12. Solve Problems via Experimentation
When facing a problem you care about, engage in direct exploration and experimentation by collecting and testing different examples, comparing options to discover what works best.
13. Small Experiments Yield Insights
Conduct even a small amount of direct experimentation to gain deeper insights into solving specific problems than relying solely on books, internet searches, or friend recommendations.
14. Balance Info Value & Cost
For high-stakes decisions, collect as much information as possible through research and experimentation, but be mindful of the cost of information (time, attention, energy) and balance it with its value.
15. Budget Time for Decisions
When making important decisions, consciously set a time and energy budget for research and experimentation, aiming to maximize it for things you care deeply about or use often.
16. View Malinvestment as Tuition
Accept that some malinvestment (e.g., buying products that don’t work out) is an inevitable part of research and exploration, viewing it as “tuition” for gathering valuable information in a domain you care about.
17. Allocate Experimentation Budget
For any problem worth solving, allocate an experimentation budget, accepting that some attempts will not work out, as this is an expected part of the process to find what does work.
18. Overcome Threat Lockdown
Recognize “threat lockdown” as a deep-seated physiological defensive response to perceived risk; debug or disable it to engage in exploration, experimentation, and informed risks that won’t cause permanent damage but might lead to breakthroughs.
19. Learn From Every Attempt
Approach challenges with the mindset, “I don’t know if this will work, but I’m going to try it,” because every result provides information, data, and improves your skills and capabilities, making it a win regardless of the immediate outcome.
20. Cultivate Experimental Peer Group
Surround yourself with a trusted peer group that is also experimenting, taking risks, and sharing their data and experiences, as this can expand your view of what’s possible and provide invaluable support.
21. Seek Combinatorial Skill Development
Actively develop diverse skills and experiences, even in unrelated areas, because these capabilities can combine in new and valuable ways, leading to unique advantages.
22. Pursue Interest-Driven Side Projects
Invest time and energy in side projects driven by genuine interest or a desire to push boundaries, as these often yield unexpected and enormous value later on.
23. Define Personal Success
Define success based on working on valued projects with liked people, in a way that supports yourself and your family; if any of these elements are slipping, recognize that change is needed.
24. Use Status Malfunction Check
Before committing to a goal, use the concept of “status malfunction” as a check: evaluate if the enticing option truly improves your life or if it’s an evolutionary lure leading to an undesired outcome.
25. Evaluate Lower-Status Options
Be willing to seriously examine and consider lower-status options, evaluating if they can achieve your goals faster, more directly, less expensively, or with less risk, despite the emotional difficulty of passing up high-status choices.
26. Avoid Comparative Status Traps
Recognize that there will always be someone with more money, followers, or perceived success; avoid falling into comparative status traps by appreciating your absolute quality of life.
27. Redefine Success & Status
Intentionally and deliberately redefine your personal understanding of success and status to align with your values, rather than external comparisons, to improve your emotional experience of life.
28. Distinguish Knowledge & Skill
Understand that knowledge is information and concepts, while skill is the ability to reliably and repeatably perform an action to produce a desired result in the real world.
29. Develop Accurate Mental Models
Cultivate concepts and ideas about how the real world works to enable mental simulation, which helps in understanding situations, anticipating outcomes, and making better decisions.
30. Apply Mental Models for Improvement
Use accurate mental models to understand how things work, then apply them to run experiments, make changes, keep what works, and stop what doesn’t, leading to continuous improvement over time.
31. Understand Business’s Five Parts
Deconstruct any business into its five core parts—value creation, marketing, sales, value delivery, and finance—to gain a clear, constrained understanding of its operations and goals.
32. Simple Business Plan Structure
To write a business plan, use five subheads (value creation, marketing, sales, value delivery, finance) and sketch out in detail what each process looks like in the business.
33. Understand Self & Others
Continuously work on understanding yourself and others, including concepts like sunk cost and akrasia, to debug your own mind and anticipate how others think and feel.
34. Log Daily for Progress & Evaluation
Use daily logging to acknowledge your accomplishments and how they relate to your goals, providing both a sense of progress and a rich source of data to evaluate processes and decisions for future improvements.
35. Track Time & Energy Daily
Combine a daily review process with making notes during work to accurately track how you spend or invest your time and energy, rather than relying on unreliable memory.
36. Filter Info by Trust & Problem-Solving
Filter information by prioritizing recommendations from trusted sources and reviews that specifically describe how a resource solved a concrete problem, rather than general enjoyment.
37. Overcome Mistake Aversion
Recognize that emotional attachment to avoiding mistakes and waste often leads to excessive conservatism in exploration; overcome this to gain valuable insights.
38. Experience Isn’t Enough
Recognize that mere experience, even over many years, does not guarantee learning; active engagement and reflection are necessary to truly acquire new knowledge and skills.
39. Learn Desired Outcome First
Before practicing a skill, familiarize yourself with what the desired performance or outcome sounds/looks like, enabling immediate self-correction when mistakes are made.
40. Learn Self-Correction Early
Prioritize learning how to acknowledge and correct your own mistakes as an initial step in skill acquisition, enabling faster progress.
41. Seek Objective Coaching
To improve skills, seek out an excellent instructor or coach who can provide objective feedback, noticing fine variations and small mistakes you might miss, and helping you correct them in the moment.
42. Daily Log for Soft Skills
Use a daily log to reflect on your actions, internal understanding of performance, successes, failures, and future intentions, especially for improving soft skills, and review it later for contrast.
43. Contrast Internal & External Feedback
For interpersonal skills, record your internal experience during interactions (e.g., meetings), then contrast it with later external feedback to identify discrepancies and inform future experiments or behavioral changes.
44. Record Yourself for Feedback
For skills like speaking, record yourself to gain an external perspective on your performance, even if uncomfortable, then use this feedback to identify specific areas for improvement and plan targeted changes.
45. Ask for Reflective Insights
When seeking advice, ask people how they thought about a situation, what inputs they considered, their models, and how they anticipated outcomes, rather than just asking what to do, to triangulate on key variables.
46. Acknowledge Ambition’s Challenges
When pursuing ambitious goals, formally acknowledge the inherent fear of the unknown, uncertainty, and risk that comes with investing time and energy into something that might not yield desired results.
47. Acknowledge Fear to Disarm
Instead of letting fear of uncertainty stop you, formally acknowledge the inherent risks and unknowns of ambitious projects; this recognition robs fear of its power and prevents unconstructive suppression.
48. Ground Ambition in Reality
Acknowledge the uncertainty and risk of your ambitions, and that you’ll need to grow to meet challenges; identify potential obstacles and known risks, then plan actions to alleviate them.
49. Acknowledge Risk to Ease Approach
Acknowledging uncertainty and risk doesn’t eliminate them, but it makes ambitious projects feel less stressful and more approachable, transforming a nebulous goal into manageable steps.
50. Drop Omniscience Expectation
Let go of the unrealistic expectation to know exactly what will work before you start, acknowledging that neither you nor anyone else is omniscient, and accept this fundamental aspect of reality.
51. Accept Reality’s Uncertainty
Accept that uncertainty, risk, and the unknown are fundamental, inherent, and unhackable aspects of reality in any endeavor, as this acceptance is the first step to progress.
52. Choose Peers for Risk Tolerance
Be mindful that your peer group significantly influences your risk tolerance; surround yourself with people whose attitudes towards risk align with your desired level of exploration and ambition.
53. Apply Diverse Learning Broadly
Experiment by applying knowledge and skills learned in one seemingly unrelated area to a completely different domain, as this can unlock significant unexpected value.
54. Side Projects Provide Data
Use side projects as opportunities for experimentation and iteration, collecting data to assess what works for you and others, which builds confidence for future investment.
55. Leverage Social Status in Business
Understand that building positive social signals into your business, making customers feel good about themselves, can make your offer significantly more enticing and valuable.
56. Beware Status Malfunction
Recognize “status malfunction” where the lure of status leads to making poor decisions or investments, overlooking significant drawbacks, costs, and trade-offs in pursuit of looking good to others.
57. Recognize Status’s Compliance Influence
Be aware that the pursuit of status, such as corporate titles and promotions, can subtly drive compliance and discourage challenging the status quo, potentially hindering personal growth or organizational change.
58. Self-Educate Universal Concepts
Instead of formal schooling, read and research on your own, focusing on concepts that apply across a wide range of contexts (e.g., from small to large businesses) to gain essential knowledge.
5 Key Quotes
in many areas of both life and business, more experimentation means more mistakes, but it also means more results and more growth.
Shane Parrish
I want to read something like influence, which is how to think about cognitive biases in this, in the specific application of persuasion and sales.
Josh Kaufman
I don't know if this is going to work, but I'm going to try it. And any, any result gives me more information, gives me more data about the world. It improves my skills and improves my capabilities of acting in the world. That is a win regardless of whether or not that discrete experiment actually moves things forward or not.
Josh Kaufman
somebody else is always going to have more money than you. This is not an emergency.
Josh Kaufman (quoting Charlie Munger)
Success is working on projects that I value. And I think are important with people that I like in a way that allows me to take care of myself and my family.
Josh Kaufman
1 Protocols
Daily Logging for Self-Improvement
Josh Kaufman- Pay attention to what you are doing and trying to do.
- Write down both what you accomplish in a day and the decisions you make, especially where you get stuck.
- Actively capture decisions you need to make but are not, and try to figure out why.
- Deconstruct barriers by asking what information is needed, who to talk to, or what experiments could be run.
- Review your log daily to evaluate your process, decisions, and make conscious improvements.